Market Insights by Sosland Publishing

WASHINGTON — With trade tensions over tariff rates between the United States and China simmering, and despite the Trump administration’s recent suggestion that negotiations to settle the dispute are in the works, neither side has budged.  

Erin Borror, vice president of economic analysis at the US Meat Export Federation, confirmed the trade conflict has resulted in a stoppage of beef and pork exports shipped from the United States to China in an update from the trade association.

Retaliatory duties imposed by China in response to US reciprocal tariffs currently have caused duty rates on US pork and pork variety meats to reach 172% and a tariff rate of 147% on US beef and variety meats.

Borror said finding replacement trading partners is challenging because of specific requirements for US products shipped to China.

“There’s a mad scramble to try to essentially find new homes for this product that is in the pipeline that was produced for China,” Borror said. “And remember that for China, we have special China labeling. It’s ractopamine-free product with a China label, both on the bag and the box. So, it’s costly production specific for China, and thus difficult to reroute or find a new home for this product.”

Borror said that historically China buys significant quantities of specific items at a premium that other trading partners aren’t willing to pay.

“So, on the beef side, they are a top customer for short plate, short rib, chuck short rib, rib finger, tiger tail, honeycomb, very China specific products,” Borror said.

The absence of shipments for those products to China are estimated to equate to a loss of up to $165 per head for the industry, representing approximately $4 billion per year.

US pork industry losses, specifically for a variety of meats, total about $8 to $10 per head or about a $1 billion deficit for the year.

“They are by far the largest buyer of pork feet, head, stomachs, intestines, and they are taking tremendous volume at higher prices than any other customer can pay,” Borror said.

An additional hurdle to trade with China unrelated to tariffs is its failure to renew registrations for 400 US beef facilities to export products, according to the USMEF. Registrations for most US pork facilities were renewed in March, but China has not yet renewed nine registrations that expired April 20.